Shawarma Capital

Shawarma Capital

MRLN: Part 4 - The Board, the Preferred Supernova, and the Catalyst Nobody Has Modeled

Merlin Just Got Its First Analyst, Its Best-Ever Board, and a Capital Structure That Could Force the Largest Voluntary Short Squeeze in Defense Tech History. CDR Has Not Happened Yet.

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Shawarma Capital
Apr 16, 2026
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In 96 hours, Merlin got sell-side coverage, assembled the most credentialed defense-tech board since the Anduril formation, confirmed KC-135 revenue, and hit a new all-time high. The market still has not modeled what happens when $253.9 million in PIPE warrants go in the money, $260 million in preferred converts to common, and the September 16 conversion price reset forces preferred holders to defend a $12 floor through the most critical 20 trading days in this stock’s history. This is the part nobody is talking about.

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